Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.65
X/1
24%
3.36
X/2
5%
18.65
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
7%
19.45
2/X
5%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.8pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.96/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.18
+0% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.3 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes
1.98 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
458 Passes 322
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 56% of the ball to Estudiantes's 44%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.98 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Estudiantes?

Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes in the Copa Libertadores on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 63%, draw 22%, Estudiantes 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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