LDU Quito 2-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 19 Sep 2025

LDU Quito
2-0 HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LDU Quito v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.56/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.41
+59% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +90%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.3 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.00 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 440
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito CON CSA
25.08.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 2-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo CON CSA
23.09.2020 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-2 HT 3-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
12.03.2020 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito LKU

LDU Quito 2-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.75 xG 0.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
279 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito got the better of Sao Paulo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; LDU Quito found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, LDU Quito had 41% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 59%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.75 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo?

LDU Quito 2-0 Sao Paulo in the Copa Libertadores on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 40%, draw 32%, Sao Paulo 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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