Sligo Rovers 0-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Sligo Rovers
0-2 HT 0-1
Bohemians
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.98
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.3
X/1
16%
5.75
X/2
8%
5.24
X/X
8%
4.59
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 13.3 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
35%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sligo Rovers v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.07
-21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.1 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bohemians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 294
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
17.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.02.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
29.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 3-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
02.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL

Sligo Rovers 0-2 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
0-2
AWAY Bohemians
0.78 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
297 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians saw off Sligo Rovers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sligo Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 54% of the ball to Bohemians's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians?

Sligo Rovers 0-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 44%, draw 25%, Bohemians 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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