Bohemians 0-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.15
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.48
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.16/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.41
+13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 67%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
251 Passes 236
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.02.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
29.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 3-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
02.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.04.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
0-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.97 xG 1.58
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
454 Passes 143
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
35 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers saw off Bohemians 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bohemians had 70% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 30%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 1.97 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bohemians and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?

Bohemians 0-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 52%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bohemians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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