Galway United 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.13
X/2
8%
7.8
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
16%
6.27
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +25%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.7 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
172 Passes 261
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
11.08.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
05.05.2023 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
03.03.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United squeezed past Waterford FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Galway United and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Galway United 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 43%, draw 28%, Waterford FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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