Dundalk vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Drogheda United
İRL
1-2
HT 1-0
Dundalk
İRL
3-2
HT 2-0
Drogheda United
İRL
Dundalk 4-2 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk beat Drogheda United 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Dundalk had 46% of the ball to Drogheda United's 54%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.58 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Drogheda United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundalk and 1.33 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk 4-2 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 46%, draw 28%, Drogheda United 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.