Jönköpings Södra 2-1 Eskilsminne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.00/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
-40% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eskilsminne
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 1-3 HT 0-1 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
2-1
AWAY Eskilsminne
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Eskilsminne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra edged past Eskilsminne 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jönköpings Södra as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 44% of the ball to Eskilsminne's 56%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Eskilsminne?

Jönköpings Södra 2-1 Eskilsminne in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Eskilsminne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jönköpings Södra win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 49%, draw 26%, Eskilsminne 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jönköpings Södra) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jönköpings Södra) ✗ BTTS No
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