20/04/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Eskilsminne vs Jönköpings Södra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
33%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
27%
55%
Under 2.5
49%
45%
Over 2.5
51%
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
49%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eskilsminne v Jönköpings Södra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Eskilsminne
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jönköpings Södra
EU Bookmakers 31%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
2.32/1.20
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+42%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
+65%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
290 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Eskilsminne vs Jönköpings Södra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jönköpings Södra beat Eskilsminne 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Jönköpings Södra made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Eskilsminne vs Jönköpings Södra?
Eskilsminne 1-3 Jönköpings Södra in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eskilsminne vs Jönköpings Södra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eskilsminne win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Eskilsminne 35%, draw 33%, Jönköpings Södra 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eskilsminne), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Eskilsminne)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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