Jonsereds IF 1-3 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.56/3.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.51
-8% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jonsereds IF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-2 HT 1-2 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF got the better of Jonsereds IF 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vastra Frolunda IF as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Jonsereds IF 1-3 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 30%, draw 27%, Vastra Frolunda IF 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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