Taftea 1-1 IFK Östersund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
43%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.0pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.7pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.2pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taftea EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 54%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.10/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
-30% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taftea
1W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Östersund
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
02.06.2024 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 3-1 HT 0-1 Taftea İSÇ4
30.10.2021 Taftea 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
03.07.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 1-2 HT 1-2 Taftea İSÇ4
05.09.2020 Taftea 2-5 HT 0-3 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Taftea vs IFK Östersund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taftea and IFK Östersund couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Östersund at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Taftea and 2.75 for IFK Östersund.

What was the final score of Taftea vs IFK Östersund?

Taftea 1-1 IFK Östersund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taftea vs IFK Östersund?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Taftea 27%, draw 24%, IFK Östersund 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Östersund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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