Baden 1-0 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 19 Oct 2024

Baden
1-0
Bavois
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Baden vs Bavois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baden v Bavois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.65/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.86
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
455 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Baden vs Bavois Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bavois
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Baden Baden 0-1 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Baden vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baden nicked a narrow win over Bavois 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Baden found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baden vs Bavois?

Baden 1-0 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baden 40%, draw 26%, Bavois 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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