Lugano II 1-2 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-10.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.3pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 56%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.77
+30% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +77%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Basel II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.11.2023 Basel II Basel II 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-2
AWAY Basel II
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II edged past Lugano II 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basel II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lugano II had 43% of the ball to Basel II's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Basel II?

Lugano II 1-2 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 30%, draw 29%, Basel II 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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