Young Boys 2-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
5.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.16
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.05 — our 22% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2 EV+
15%
7.65
X/X
6%
5.79
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.61/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.30
+53% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.8 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Luzern
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
310 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
11.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.08.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
30.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.02.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
13.11.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
2-1
AWAY Luzern
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Young Boys had 57% of the ball to Luzern's 43%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Luzern?

Young Boys 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 44%, draw 23%, Luzern 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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