Salzburg 2-1 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.19 — our 26% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.3
X/1 EV+
33%
3.51
X/2
6%
18.8
X/X
9%
8.19
2/1
10%
21.25
2/2
4%
14.05
2/X
7%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.67/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.20
+36% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.6 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.52 xG 0.48
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
417 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
29.07.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
19.03.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
08.10.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 2-3 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.03.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
16.10.2021 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-1
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg squeezed past Rheindorf Altach 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg had 63% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 37%, shots finished 14-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Salzburg and 0.67 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Salzburg 2-1 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 63%, draw 21%, Rheindorf Altach 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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