Sturm Graz 5-2 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

Sturm Graz
5-2
Grazer AK
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
21%
3.61
X/2
6%
13.55
X/X
5%
6.83
2/1
9%
20.95
2/2
8%
10.3
2/X
5%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
2.05/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.13
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.3 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-3 HT 2-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AUK
19.10.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AUK
18.03.2007 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
11.11.2006 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-2 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
26.08.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.05.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-3 HT 2-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU

Sturm Graz 5-2 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
5-2
AWAY Grazer AK
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz swept aside Grazer AK 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 68% of the ball to Grazer AK's 32%, shots finished 27-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Sturm Graz 5-2 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 61%, draw 19%, Grazer AK 20%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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