Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-0 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.23
Over
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gualberto Villarroel SJ win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
73%
-10.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz The Market 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.74
+38% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
15.2 Crosses 10.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Santa Cruz
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
240 Passes 180
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-3 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4-0
AWAY Santa Cruz
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ swept aside Santa Cruz 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 64% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 36%, shots finished 22-15.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Santa Cruz?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-0 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 62%, draw 19%, Santa Cruz 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ BTTS No
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