FK Sarajevo 4-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.9pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.44/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
01.12.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
28.08.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.03.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
19.09.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
27.05.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
4-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo ran out comfortable winners over Velez Mostar 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 43% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 57%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.00 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 4-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 52%, draw 18%, Velez Mostar 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 GOSK Gabela vs Sloboda Tuzla Analysis →