Frem 1-2 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 32% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.35/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/2.78
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN2
16.08.2014 Frem Frem 2-1 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frem
1-2
AWAY Nykobing
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frem vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing edged past Frem 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Frem carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frem had 51% of the ball to Nykobing's 49%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Frem had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Frem and 0.50 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Frem vs Nykobing?

Frem 1-2 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Frem 60%, draw 24%, Nykobing 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Frem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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