Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

Aarhus Fremad
1-2
Middelfart
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.53
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 33% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.0pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarhus Fremad v Middelfart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.62/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
+15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Middelfart
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-1 HT 2-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
31.05.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-3 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
13.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
28.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart nicked a narrow win over Aarhus Fremad 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.50 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?

Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 49%, draw 24%, Middelfart 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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