Middelfart 3-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.34/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.92
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-3 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
13.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
28.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
07.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
3-1
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart got the better of Aarhus Fremad 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Middelfart made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Middelfart had 46% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 54%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Middelfart 3-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 40%, draw 21%, Aarhus Fremad 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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