Skive IK 1-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.59
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
11.05.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 4-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
01.04.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 2-2 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
12.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
03.06.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
06.05.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
1-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK edged past Hellerup IK 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Skive IK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Skive IK had 46% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skive IK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Skive IK and 1.00 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Hellerup IK?

Skive IK 1-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 46%, draw 25%, Hellerup IK 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skive IK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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