Mushuc Runa 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Oct 2024

Mushuc Runa
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Cuenca
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mushuc Runa v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.53/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.32
+59% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.5 Crosses 15.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 5-0 HT 4-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.10.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
13.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
22.10.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
28.05.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
31.10.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.39 xG 0.66
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
142 Passes 324
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa and Deportivo Cuenca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 65%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.39 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.00 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 41%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cuenca 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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