Orense vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
Orense 1-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Orense edged past Libertad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Orense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Orense had 59% of the ball to Libertad's 41%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.96 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orense had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orense and 0.33 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Orense vs Libertad?
Orense 1-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orense 51%, draw 28%, Libertad 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.