EPS 3-2 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 19 Oct 2024

EPS
3-2 HT 1-1
KuPS Ak.
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.58
2-3 Goals
44%
2.38
4-5 Goals
25%
2.37
6+ Goals
11%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
3.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
17.08.2024 EPS EPS 3-0 HT 2-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
02.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-1 HT 2-0 EPS EPS FİN2
POST-MATCH EPS vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS squeezed past KuPS Ak. 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had EPS as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for EPS and 1.00 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of EPS vs KuPS Ak.?

EPS 3-2 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split EPS 53%, draw 24%, KuPS Ak. 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EPS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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