Maghreb Fes 1-0 Difaa El Jadida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 19 Oct 2024

Maghreb Fes
1-0
Difaa El Jadida
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Morocco - League – 2024/2025

Maghreb Fes vs Difaa El Jadida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.44
Over
45%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.04
2-3
44%
1.84
4-5
19%
6.38
6+
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.0pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maghreb Fes v Difaa El Jadida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Difaa El Jadida The Market 30%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.22/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.62
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Maghreb Fes vs Difaa El Jadida Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Difaa El Jadida
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 3-1 HT 3-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
08.10.2022 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-2 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
25.04.2022 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
22.05.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-3 HT 0-2 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
20.12.2020 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 1-2 HT 1-2 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS

Maghreb Fes 1-0 Difaa El Jadida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
1-0
AWAY Difaa El Jadida
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs Difaa El Jadida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes nicked a narrow win over Difaa El Jadida 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maghreb Fes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 54% of the ball to Difaa El Jadida's 46%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maghreb Fes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.40 for Difaa El Jadida.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs Difaa El Jadida?

Maghreb Fes 1-0 Difaa El Jadida in the Morocco - League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs Difaa El Jadida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 41%, draw 33%, Difaa El Jadida 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maghreb Fes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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