Wydad Casablanca 3-2 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.06
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Wydad Casablanca win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.3pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.4pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+15.7pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wydad Casablanca The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia The Market 8%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
2.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.03
+8% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
387 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wydad Casablanca
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 5-2 HT 2-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
03.09.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 2-3 HT 2-2 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
06.05.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-3 HT 0-2 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
05.01.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-2 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
10.04.2022 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 3-2 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FASK
05.03.2022 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 2-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
POST-MATCH Wydad Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Casablanca edged past Chabab Mohammedia 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wydad Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Wydad Casablanca and 1.67 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Wydad Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Wydad Casablanca 3-2 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wydad Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Wydad Casablanca 65%, draw 20%, Chabab Mohammedia 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wydad Casablanca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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