FC Jazz 1-0 RoPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 19 Oct 2024

FC Jazz
1-0 HT 0-0
RoPS
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
8.55
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
42%
2.38
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
3.97
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.38 — our 42% vs market 35.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.7pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Jazz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RoPS EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Jazz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY RoPS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
20.07.2024 RoPS RoPS 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİN3
12.05.2024 FC Jazz FC Jazz 1-4 HT 1-3 RoPS RoPS FİN2
POST-MATCH FC Jazz vs RoPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Jazz nicked a narrow win over RoPS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Jazz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RoPS led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Jazz and 3.50 for RoPS.

What was the final score of FC Jazz vs RoPS?

FC Jazz 1-0 RoPS in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Jazz vs RoPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Jazz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Jazz 49%, draw 24%, RoPS 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Jazz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Jazz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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