Taffs Well 1-3 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Taffs Well
1-3 HT 1-1
Baglan Dragons
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
55%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
31%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
55%
Away Win
43%
+12.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taffs Well v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.61/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / +62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
22.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-4 HT 0-4 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons beat Taffs Well 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Taffs Well and 2.50 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons?

Taffs Well 1-3 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 22%, draw 23%, Baglan Dragons 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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