Baglan Dragons 1-0 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

Baglan Dragons
1-0
Taffs Well
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Taffs Well — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.22
+47% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Taffs Well
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-4 HT 0-4 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons nicked a narrow win over Taffs Well 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Baglan Dragons found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well?

Baglan Dragons 1-0 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 38%, draw 29%, Taffs Well 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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