Llantwit Major 3-2 Abertillery Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.3pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.62/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.46
-29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds 1-0 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major edged past Abertillery Bluebirds 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Llantwit Major 3-2 Abertillery Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 48%, draw 27%, Abertillery Bluebirds 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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