Pontardawe Town FC 2-3 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.33
No
48%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
71%
-19.2pp
48%
BTTS No
29%
+19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.41/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.38
+46% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.09.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-3 HT 1-0 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
11.02.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido nicked a narrow win over Pontardawe Town FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Afan Lido as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 2.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Afan Lido?

Pontardawe Town FC 2-3 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 31%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afan Lido), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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