Holywell 1-0 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.52/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-22% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell nicked a narrow win over Flint Town United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Holywell made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Flint Town United?

Holywell 1-0 Flint Town United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holywell 38%, draw 24%, Flint Town United 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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