10/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
19%
Draw
20%
27%
Away Win
23%
36%
Under 2.5
28%
64%
Over 2.5
72%
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
41%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangor 1876 v Caersws — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bangor 1876
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Caersws
EU Bookmakers 27%
-32% /
-32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-40% /
-40%
2.07/2.60
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.49
-1%
/
-52%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
-38%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
395 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bangor 1876 saw off Caersws 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangor 1876 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Caersws?
Bangor 1876 2-0 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Caersws?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 53%, draw 19%, Caersws 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor 1876) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bangor 1876)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
10 Feb 2024