Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 19 Oct 2024

Changwon City
1-1
Chuncheon Citizen
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Chuncheon Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.28/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.02
-10% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City and Chuncheon Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Changwon City and 1.67 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 45%, draw 22%, Chuncheon Citizen 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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