Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.98
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Changwon City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City edged past Chuncheon Citizen 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Changwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 0.50 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City?

Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chuncheon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 34%, draw 32%, Changwon City 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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