Paju Citizen 1-0 Yeoju Sejong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 May 2024

Paju Citizen
1-0 HT 1-0
Yeoju Sejong
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Paju Citizen vs Yeoju Sejong Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paju Citizen v Yeoju Sejong — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Yeoju Sejong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen edged past Yeoju Sejong 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Yeoju Sejong?

Paju Citizen 1-0 Yeoju Sejong in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Yeoju Sejong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 41%, draw 32%, Yeoju Sejong 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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