Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.25/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.94
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
23.07.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
08.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.08.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.05.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
31.10.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
09.06.2021 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Gangneung City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Gyeongju HNP made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangneung City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.33 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City?

Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 40%, draw 32%, Gangneung City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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