Bucheon 1995 1-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
12%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.51/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.90
+13% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-3 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
18.05.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 and Suwon Bluewings shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 54% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 46%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.50 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Suwon Bluewings?

Bucheon 1995 1-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 33%, draw 27%, Suwon Bluewings 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5
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