Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 24% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 23%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
+11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
27.0 Crosses 12.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4.04 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
358 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
14.04.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
07.10.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.07.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 5-2 HT 3-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
23.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
14.09.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-7 HT 0-4 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
1-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
510 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons and Ansan Greeners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonnam Dragons at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 64% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 36%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.33 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Ansan Greeners?

Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 45%, draw 23%, Ansan Greeners 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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