Dinamo Tbilisi 5-1 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Telavi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
26.04.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.03.2024 Telavi Telavi 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
04.11.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
25.08.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 6-1 HT 3-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
5-1
AWAY Telavi
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi cruised past Telavi 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 51% of the ball to Telavi's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Telavi?

Dinamo Tbilisi 5-1 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 49%, draw 26%, Telavi 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5
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