AZ (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2024

AZ (K)
4-0 HT 1-0
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -37%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1

AZ (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
4-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
365 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) cruised past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, AZ (K) had 64% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 36%, shots finished 24-6.

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

AZ (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 57%, draw 25%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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