Kagoshima United 4-0 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒07:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.62/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.09
+17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
23.09.2023 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
23.07.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-2 HT 1-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP3
30.10.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP3
25.06.2022 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
17.08.2019 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 4-2 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
4-0
AWAY Ehime FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 132
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United swept aside Ehime FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 61% of the ball to Ehime FC's 39%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ehime FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.33 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?

Kagoshima United 4-0 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 46%, draw 24%, Ehime FC 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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