JEF United 2-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
422 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 602
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
01.07.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.08.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.06.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
21.08.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past Ventforet Kofu 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, JEF United had 43% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 57%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 0.83 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Ventforet Kofu?

JEF United 2-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JEF United 44%, draw 27%, Ventforet Kofu 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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