Ventforet Kofu 2-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.18
+0% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
477 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY JEF United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
602 Passes 233
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.08.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.06.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
21.08.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
28.02.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2-2
AWAY JEF United
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu and JEF United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 47% of the ball to JEF United's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United?

Ventforet Kofu 2-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 37%, draw 25%, JEF United 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
12 May 2024
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
07:00 Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
08:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi SC Analysis →