Al Ahli 0-1 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.52
2-3 Goals
36%
2.13
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
16%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.07/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.32/1.43
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
10.8 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 2.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 480
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
21.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-5 HT 2-3 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
18.08.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.02.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
11.08.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
10.03.2022 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli
0-1
AWAY Al Duhail SC
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC edged past Al Ahli 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli had 58% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 42%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 1.67 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Ahli 0-1 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 26%, draw 21%, Al Duhail SC 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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