Al Shamal 5-2 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.10/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.47
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
18.0 Crosses 17.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
263 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.12.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
16.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
15.02.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
20.09.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
24.08.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
04.02.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-2 HT 2-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal swept aside Al Arabi 5-2. Half-time: 4-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Shamal and 1.33 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Arabi?

Al Shamal 5-2 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 27%, draw 25%, Al Arabi 48%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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