Kairat 5-1 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +7%
2.05/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.97
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Turan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZKK
07.03.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
11.09.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 1-3 HT 0-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2022 Kairat Kairat 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
31.07.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 4-3 HT 0-3 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
24.07.2021 Kairat Kairat 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat cruised past FK Turan 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Turan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 1.17 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Kairat vs FK Turan?

Kairat 5-1 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kairat 67%, draw 20%, FK Turan 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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