Tobol 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.69/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.18
+32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11 Corners 2
12.05.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
25.02.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZSK
04.11.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
27.08.2023 Tobol Tobol 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
16.04.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.08.2022 Tobol Tobol 4-0 HT 2-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tobol and 1.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Tobol 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tobol 42%, draw 25%, Ordabasy Shymkent 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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