Santa Fe 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Oct 2024

Santa Fe
1-1
Independiente Medellin
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.16/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.5 Crosses 11.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 368
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
04.02.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
21.08.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
20.02.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
05.09.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Santa Fe 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Independiente Medellin
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
325 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 54% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Santa Fe 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 41%, draw 33%, Independiente Medellin 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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