Al Salmiyah 3-4 Al Kuwait — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
61%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
5.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.15 — our 32% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 72%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.12/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.91
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Kuwait
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
1 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
08.04.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
30.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
27.09.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
28.04.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
01.04.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Salmiyah
3-4
AWAY Al Kuwait
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait squeezed past Al Salmiyah 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Kuwait as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Salmiyah had 49% of the ball to Al Kuwait's 51%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Salmiyah and 2.33 for Al Kuwait.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait?

Al Salmiyah 3-4 Al Kuwait in the Kuwait - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kuwait win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 15%, draw 24%, Al Kuwait 60%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kuwait) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kuwait) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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